UNF Poll Of Florida Voters On Trump Impeachment Inquiry And 2020 Election

President Donald Trump

President Donald Trump/Credit: PBS NewsHour

The latest public opinion poll by researchers at the University of North Florida finds Democratic and Republican voters pretty evenly split on the issue of impeaching President Donald Trump. Read the story ]

Poll Questions And Results

n= stands for the number of respondents.

Do you approve or disapprove of the House of Representatives formally starting an impeachment inquiry into President Trump?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=660

Strongly Approve37%
Somewhat Approve12%
Somewhat Disapprove9%
Strongly Disapprove38%
Don’t Know5%
Answer Options

 

Democratic Voters

n=243

Republican Voters

n=234

NPA Voters

n=184

Strongly Approve65%6%38%
Somewhat Approve17%7%10%
Somewhat Disapprove3%13%12%
Strongly Disapprove10%72%31%
Don’t Know5%2%8%

Do you support or oppose President Trump being impeached and removed from office?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=650

Strongly Support37%
Somewhat Support9%
Somewhat Oppose6%
Strongly Oppose42%
Don’t Know6%

 

Answer Options

 

Democratic Voters

n=238

Republican Voters

n=232

NPA Voters

n=180

Strongly Support69%6%37%
Somewhat Support15%3%9%
Somewhat Oppose4%5%10%
Strongly Oppose8%84%32%
Don’t Know5%3%11%

 Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as President of the United States?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=655

Strongly Approve29%
Somewhat Approve16%
Somewhat Disapprove11%
Strongly Disapprove42%
Don’t Know3%
Answer Options

 

Democratic Voters

n=243

Republican Voters

n=232

NPA Voters

n=180

Strongly Approve4%63%19%
Somewhat Approve10%19%18%
Somewhat Disapprove10%9%17%
Strongly Disapprove76%8%38%
Don’t Know1%1%7%

If the general election were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=644

Donald Trump43%
Joe Biden48%
Wouldn’t vote6%
Don’t Know3%

If the general election were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for?

 

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=644

Donald Trump43%
Elizabeth Warren46%
Wouldn’t vote6%
Don’t Know6%

If the general election were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, who would you vote for?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=646

Donald Trump44%
Kamala Harris41%
Wouldn’t vote8%
Don’t Know7%

If the general election were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg, who would you vote for?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=644

Donald Trump43%
Pete Buttigieg42%
Wouldn’t vote7%
Don’t Know9%

If the general election were held today and the candidates were Mike Pence and Joe Biden, who would you vote for?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=642

Mike Pence38%
Joe Biden49%
Wouldn’t vote8%
Don’t Know5%

If the general election were held today and the candidates were Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=643

Mike Pence40%
Elizabeth Warren46%
Wouldn’t vote8%
Don’t Know6%

What do you think is the most important problem facing the U.S. today? (Choices Rotated)

Answer Options

 

Florida Voters

                                n=665

Economy/Jobs/Unemployment12%
Education11%
Environment9%
Foreign Policy6%
Gun Policy9%
Healthcare18%
Immigration18%
Terrorism3%
Donald Trump2%
Something Else10%
Don’t Know3%
Answer Options

 

Democratic Voters

n=246

Republican Voters

n=232

NPA Voters

n=186

Economy/Jobs/Unemployment8%18%9%
Education9%12%12%
Environment13%2%10%
Foreign Policy8%5%5%
Gun Policy14%3%11%
Healthcare22%15%16%
Immigration9%29%17%
Terrorism3%3%3%
Donald Trump6%1%
Something Else7%12%11%
Don’t Know3%2%5%

When considering a presidential candidate, how important is it that their views align with yours on social issues?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=662

Very important62%
Somewhat important31%
Not important at all6%
Don’t Know2%

When considering a presidential candidate, how important is it that their views align with yours on economic issues?

Answer OptionsFlorida Voters

n=666

Very important66%
Somewhat important31%
Not important at all2%
Don’t Know2%

Survey Demographics

Party RegistrationFlorida Voters

n=669

Republican37%
Democrat35%
NPA and other28%
AgeFlorida Voters

n=669

18 to 2410%
25 to 3416%
35 to 4415%
45 to 5516%
56 to 6418%
65 and older27%
RaceFlorida Voters

n=669

White (not Hispanic)63%
Black (not Hispanic)13%
Hispanic17%
Other7%
SexFlorida Voters

n=669

Male46%
Female54%
TelephoneFlorida Voters

n=660

Landline23%
Cell phone77%
Refusal<1%

What is the highest grade in school or year of college you have completed?

EducationFlorida Voters

n=660

Less than high school4%
High school graduate21%
Some college45%
College graduate19%
Post graduate degree11%
Refusal<1%

What language was this survey completed in?

Survey language completed in…Florida Voters

n=668

English96%
Spanish4%

Methodology

The UNF Florida statewide poll was conducted and sponsored by the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida, from Monday, Oct. 14, 2019, through Sunday, Oct. 20, 2019, by live callers via the telephone from 5 to 9 p.m. during the week and noon to 9 p.m. on the weekends with a maximum of five callbacks attempted. UNF undergraduate students and employees conducted interviews in English and Spanish. Data collection took place at the PORL facility with its 27-station Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) system. The phone numbers used for this survey were sourced from the Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2019, update of the Florida Voter File. The sample frame was comprised of registered Florida voters. Overall, there were 669 completed surveys of Florida registered voters, 18 years of age or older.

The margin of sampling error for the total sample is +/- 3.8 percentage points. The breakdown of completed responses on a landline phone to a cell phone was 23% to 77%, with less than 1% unidentified. Through hand dialing, an interviewer upon reaching the individual as specified in the voter file asked that respondent to participate, regardless of landline telephone or cell phone. Data were then weighted by partisan registration, age, race, sex and education. Education weights were created from the 2017 American Community Survey (ACS). Partisan registration, sex, race and age weights were created from the Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2019, update of the Florida Voter File to match the active registered voters in Florida. These demographic characteristics were pulled from the voter file list.

All weighted demographic variables were applied using the SPSS version 25 rake weighting function, which will not assign a weight if one of the demographics being weighted on is missing. In this case, respondents missing a response for education were given a weight of 1.  There were no statistical adjustments made due to design effects. This study had a 27.5% response rate. The American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Response Rate 3 (RR3) calculation was used which consists of an estimate of what proportion of cases of unknown eligibility are truly eligible. This survey was sponsored by the UNF PORL and directed by Dr. Michael Binder, UNF associate professor of political science.